Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills (+1.5)
This could be the best opportunity for the Bills this week. The Jags are coming off a huge win against the Colts in overtime and may overlook a weaker Bills team. That said, the Bills are really bad and may be getting the #1 pick in the 2011 draft.
Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens (-7.0)
The Broncos are inconsistent, so it's hard to tell what team will show up. It's the best pass offense in the the NFL (the Broncos, really?) vs. the best pass defense in the NFL (ironic that the Ravens have the best pass D since almost everybody has their secondary as their weakest unit on the team). I like the D and the Home field in this one.
SHD Pick: Ravens in blow out
Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts (-8.5)
Don't let the line fool you, I think this will be a tight game. KC hasn't become 3-0 by beating bad teams and having fluke wins. That said, this is a desperate time for the Colts. They need this win at home and I think Manning will find a way to get them there.
Green Bay Packers @ Washington Redskins (+2.5)
I really didn't plan on picking the Redskins for the next two weeks but after the Philly game, this is a tough one. Do the Skins have an emotional letdown this week or do they rise up, win as a team and try to get closer to winning the NFCE? Same can be said about the Packers. The past two weeks, they've struggled with divisional opponents and penalties. The Packers have had some serious injuries on their defense and while the Skins have lost Portis for 4-6 weeks, they're getting Trent Williams back. I like the Skins here at home at 1PM (they've played better in the 1PM games over time than other games).
Pick: Skins 27-24
SHD Pick: Skins
St. Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions (-3.0)
Rams are 2-0 at home playing a better than record Lions. If this was in St. Louis, I'd pick the Rams. It's in Detroit. I like the Lions in a shootout to win their first of the year.
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers (+3.0)
This was going to be my slam dunk suicide pick of the week. But then Cutler gets knocked out and the Panther's nearly cost me last week against the Saints. This is Julius Pepper's homecoming, so I guarantee he'll want to beat the Panthers. Expect Clausen to be sacked many times but I think this game will be a nail biter. Still going with the Bears though, just not my suicide pick.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5)
I like the Bucs here in an upset. The Bengals will make one turnover too many and it will cost them the game.
Atlanta Falcons @ Cleveland Browns (+3.0)
I just think Atlanta has the better team and Cleveland will have a bit of a letdown after beating in state rival Cincinnati last week.
NY Giants @ Houston Texans (-3.0)
Texans will put up some points on the Giants D. Matt Schaub gets rid of the ball much quicker than Jay Cutler.
New Orleans Saints @ Arizona Cardinals (+7.0)
Might be a closer game than the spread suggests, but even a struggling Saints team beats a bad Cardinals team. Arizona has no QB.
Tennessee Titans @ Dallas Cowboys (-6.5)
A week off and at home should be plenty of reason on why the Cowboys win this game. Also the Titans run game has been suspect.
San Diego Chargers @ Oakland Raiders (+6.0)
I like the Raiders in an upset. SD will underestimate them.
Philadelphia Eagles @ San Francisco 49ers (-3.5)
The 49ers are hosting a banged up Eagles team that will have to depend on the inexperienced Kevin Kolb to win. This is a do or die game for Mike Singletary. Lose this game and go 0-5 and I think Singletary will be the first head coach to be fired in the 2010 season.
Minnesota Vikings @ NY Jets (-4.0)
The Jets should be able to contain the run and Revis should be able to limit Moss. Add the stories of Favre/Childress and Favre's 'lil gunslinger (rumored) pics, I have to think there will be some issues with maintaining focus for this game.
Last week: 7-7
Season : 34-28