Sunday, October 30, 2011

NFL Week 8 Picks

Still not a bad week although I missed five games. But c'mon who really had the Ravens losing to the Jags? But I've jumped 8 spots over in the BGO pick'em league with a record of 68-35. How is it against the spread? That I'm not sure, but overall a good year picking so far. Not much at 1 PM but a decent amount of 4PM and prime time games this week.

For entertainment purposes only. Point spread based on the home team.

1PM Games
Saints @ Rams (+13.0)
Is Bradford playing today? Does it really matter? The big question for the Rams is who should they draft at #1 overall. Or should they try and trade out and get somebody else's draft board to trade away Andrew Luck?
Pick: Saints

Dolphins @ Giants (-10.0)
Another weak 1PM game. I hope the Red Zone channel keeps flipping through these games. Giants should win this one, but they have that tendency (like the Skins) to play down to their opponents.
Pick: Giants

Cardinals @ Ravens (-12.5)
Ray Lewis has got to be pissed after last weeks performance. The good news for Baltimore is that Arizona is horrible travelling to the East coast for 1PM games. Lesson in all of this: Don't trade for QBs with Andy Reid. The Eagles picked up some good picks to get rid of two QBs who weren't going to help his team.
Pick: Ravens

Vikings @ Panthers (-3.0)
Ponder vs. Newton. A battle of 1st round QBs. This might be one of the better 1PM games to watch today. I like the Panthers at home. They know how to use Newton and his abilities.
Pick: Panthers

Colts @ Titans (-8.0)
Major prediction here......the Colts score against the Titans will be better than it was against the Saints last week. They'll still lose though.
Pick: Titans

Jaguars @ Texans (-10.0)
I don't think the Jags will have a repeat performance against the Texans, but you never know. Going with the Texans but I think it will be a closer score than the spread will have you believe.
Pick: Jaguars

4PM Games
Lions @ Broncos (+3.5)
Are we going to see more Tebow magic today? Maybe. But remember in 2011 the Lions are a much, much better team than the Dolphins.
Pick: Lions

Redskins @ Bills (in Toronto) (-5.0)
Here's the problems. The Bills are a team designed to run up the score. The Bills have a (+9) TO differential playing a team that has been bad about turning over the ball (Skins -6 TO diff.). The 2ndary is so banged up that Brandyn Thompson was re-signed off the practice squad. Can the Skins win? Yes. Will they? I highly doubt it if the Bills score early and force turnovers.
Pick: Bills 31-20

Bengals @ Seahawks (+2.5)
Something tells me to go Seahawks here because I'm picking too many favorites this week. I just can't do that though. I don't trust the Bengals and would not bet any money on this game.....still picking them though.
Pick: Bengals

Browns @ 49ers (-9.0)
Great maybe with another win this week, the 49ers will overlook the Redskins next week. One can hope.
Pick: 49ers

Patriots @ Steelers (+2.5)
Pats coming off a bye and Steelers coming back from playing on the west coast. I like the team who's had the rest this week.
Pick: Patriots

Cowboys @ Eagles (-3.5)
I like the Cowboys here. Expect Mike Vick to get pressure all day.
Pick: Cowboys

Chargers @ Chiefs (-3.5)
I can see the Chiefs pulling out another surprise win here, but I'm going with the Chargers again.
Pick: Chargers

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