Monday, December 26, 2011

If the Season Ended Today...The Redskins Would Draft at #7

Looking at the Vikings/Redskins game in a draft perspective, the loss didn't do much for the Redskins while it did hurt the Vikings draft stock. Minnesota has been eliminated from the "Suck for Luck" sweepstakes with their win. Even if they lose next week and both the Rams and the Colts win, it looks like the opponents strength of schedule is too high to win a tie breaker.

Here is this weeks top 10 (or 10 worst the way you look at it):

1. Colts (2-13)
2. Rams (2-13)
3. Vikings (3-12)
4. Jaguars (4-11)
5. Browns (4-11)
6. Buccaneers (4-11)
7. Redskins (5-10)
8. Dolphins (5-10)
9. Panthers (6-9)
10. Chiefs (6-9)

Also the Bills have a 6-9 record as well but based on estimated OPP% they would be 11th.

You'd think week 17 for 'Skins fans would be meaningless, but it's not. There are a bunch of games to follow when we are looking at the 'Skins draft status for 2012. Here is a list of games to keep an eye on:

WAS @ PHI- A Redskins loss would keep them no lower than 7th but could move them up to as high as 4th in draft order depending on who wins ahead of them (Jaguars, Brown, Buccaneers). A Redskins win could knock them as far as 10th or 11th in draft order, falling behind Miami (if the Dolphins would lose). Philly also currently in the teens with their current record.

CHI @ MIN- Not a significant game to Redskin fans, but if the Vikings win and the teams in the 4-6 slots all lose, there is a chance that the Vikings could far as fall as #6. Vikings could also move up to #2 if the Rams and Colts win and they lose.

SF @ StL- The Rams could win #1 overall if they lose and the Colts beat the Jaguars. What this means to the Redskins and anybody else looking for a QB if that the phone lines are open for a trade to move up and get Luck.

NYJ @ MIA- Miami is right behind the 'Skins in draft order. They need a QB. I'd like to see them win this week.

IND @ JAX- This is a draftnik's game of the week and probably the most unwatchable game on TV. If the Jaguars win and the Redskins lose, the Jaguars would likely fall to 7th and the Redskins would move up one spot (could be more if both the Browns and Buccaneers win as well). This scenario would have the Colts win the "Suck for Luck" sweepstakes no matter what the Rams do. On the other hand, if the Colts win, the Jaguars could move up to #3 if Minnesota loses and with a Rams win the Colts would fall to #2 and the Rams would win "Suck for Luck".

PIT @ CLE- With a Browns win and a Redskins loss, the Redskins would move up one spot in draft order (more with wins by Jags and Bucs). The Browns could fall back as far as 10th based on who wins and loses this week with a win. I hope the Browns win this week, but I doubt it will happen.

TB @ AtL- There is a slight chance the Bucs could win this game because the Falcons are in the playoffs and the only thing to be determined is the 5th or 6th seed between them and the Lions. With a Bucs win and a Redskins loss, the Redskins will move up at least one spot in the draft; possibly more with losses from the Bucs and Browns. If Atlanta wins, this could slightly help the Redskins as their pick will fall further making it less valuable for the Browns if they try to move up and get either Luck or a RG3.

Other Draft Notes

- The decision of Matt Barkley will have significant ramifications on the 2012 draft. I will go into this in further detail in another post, but this hurts NFL teams that need a QB. It also helps NFL teams that are looking at other positions as the QB needy teams will trade up to get their QB while leaving more talented players at other positions available. It also helps the draft stock of other QBs like Tannehill, Foles, Cousins, etc. All of the QBs projected to be late 1st to 3rd rounders have a chance to go as high as the 1st depending on which underclassmen declare.

- I don't expect to hear word from Landry Jones (Oklahoma) or Robert Griffin III (Baylor) to announce whether they are staying or declaring for the draft until after they've played their bowl games. Baylor is set to play on December 29th against Washington in the Alamo Bowl. Oklahoma will be facing Iowa in the Insight Bowl on December 30th. Underclassmen eligible for the draft have until January 15th to declare that they are going pro. Even if they do declare, they have until January 18th to change their minds.

- Word is that it's a 50/50 bet on whether Griffin is entering the draft this year.

- No clue about Landry Jones, but my guess is that he'll stay for another year. He ended his 2011 season with some bad play and his draft stock appears to be at a low point. I would have Jones as my 4th best QB right now. He'd be the 2nd or 3rd best QB in the 2013 draft depending on if Griffin declares for 2012.

Sunday, December 25, 2011

Merry Christmas from IIWII and Happy Holidays From the Redskins

The above was a Holiday Card sent to me from the Redskins, wishing a happy holiday and I thought I would share.

Merry Christmas and have a safe and happy holidays from IIWII.

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Week 16 Picks

Quick list of winners b/c I'm running out of time.

Friday, December 23, 2011

Redskins Game Recap vs. Giants 2.0

(Any day Rex Grossman isn't the worst QB is a good day)
"The 'Skins tend to win every four years or so at Giants stadium" Andy Polian of ESPN 980's The Sports Reporters said while talking about last week's game. That's why he picked them to win. Me, I was less confident. The Redskins hadn't swept the Giants since 1999. They, haven't won at Giants stadium since 2007 (remember that crazy Todd Collins wind game?). Obviously that means that the 'Skins have never won in the new Giants/Jets stadium. The opening Rex Grossman flea flicker interception didn't give me any signs of confidence. But then something happened.......

The Giants began to stink it up. It was the Giants that dropped passes, made stupid mistakes and cost themselves points right and left. Meanwhile, the Redskins did enough to take advantage of those mistakes to score and win the game. The Redskins were able to convert 3rd downs and move the ball. It's amazing how bad the Giants can play and how good this team can play at times.

Anyway, the win moved the Redskins back from #4 to #7 in the draft and I know some fans are having a serious meltdown while we speak. That said, man did it feel good beating the Giants and sweeping an NFC East opponent. I don't care what you think about it. This win felt good. Let's do some The Good, The Bad and The Ugly.

The Good
Kyle Shanahan- I almost wish Fred Davis and Trent Williams had been suspended earlier in the season because Shanahan has finally decided to open up the playbook and try to do something with what he has. He has two young and pretty decent running backs, so he runs the ball....... This sets up the play action passes and helps with reverses and whatever else the 'Skins are doing. Finally, I'm happy with the game plan.

Jabar Gaffney (6 catches, 85 yards)- A very quiet, but very effective season for Mr. Gaffney.

London Fletcher (12 tackles, 1 FF)- Top free agent priority is to re-sign Fletcher. Is he like a fine wine and gets better with age?

OJ Atogwe, D. Hall and Josh Wilson- 3 INTs. They didn't drop passes, they made plays. That's all I ask.

O-line- Only gave up 1 sack to a Giants defense that usually eats up the offense. They opened up enough holes to grind the ball and set up a few scores. Major kudos to Willie Smith for containing Jason Pierre-Paul, who really kicked the crap out of Trent Williams at times in week 1.

Roy Helu and Evan Royster- Pounded the crap out of the Giants D. It wasn't pretty and they didn't put up great numbers, but they kept the ball away from Eli Manning and the Giants O. Most importantly it kept the Redskins from having to throw the ball (Grossman only threw 24 passes).

Graham Gano- A rare game where he made all of his FGs (3), all of his XPs (2) and didn't kick the ball out of bounds. Worth putting in a good because he didn't screw up I suppose.

Brian Orakpo- Finally, his first career sack on Manning. He needed this.

Darrel Young- 1st career TD and what a run it was.

The Bad
Trent Williams- No excuses for the #4 overall pick in 2010. If Willie Smith can contain Jason Pierre-Paul, then you should be able to do so as well.

-Can't really think of everybody else. Grossman was decent beyond the two INTs.

The Ugly
- I joked to my wife after the Grossman 2 INTs that he met his mandatory quota of 2 TOs a game. Now he can't start throwing well and throw some TDs. I know, this is a joke but I'm starting to wonder if I'm right about this.....

- 3rd down conversions 8/15 (53%). When have the Redskins topped 50% all year?

- 'Skins just outplayed the Giants at every level. What else is there to say?

Monday, December 19, 2011

If the Season Ended Today....The Redskins Would Draft at #7

With two playoff caliber teams playing on MNF, we can already look at this week's draft. While the Redskins win was good for the team, the players and it's fans, it did bump the Redskins back from 4th overall to 7th overall. Here is the top ten based on who won and lost this week:

1. Colts  (1-13)
2. Vikings (2-12)
3. Rams (2-12)
4. Jaguars (4-10)
5. Browns (4-10)
6. Buccaneers (4-10)
7. Redskins (5-9)
8. Panthers (5-9)
9. Bills (5-9)
10. Dolphins (5-9)

Worth Noting

- USC LT, Matt Kalil has declared for the draft in the past few weeks. While this isn't a guarantee, it's likely that QB, Matt Barkley will be probably heading that way as well with the man protecting his blind side (and likely a top 5 pick) going pro.

- The rumor is that the parents of Robert Griffin III are interviewing prospective agents for their son. What this does is keep RG3 college eligible if he decides to stay at Baylor another year. That said, Griffin's stock can't get much better than it is now. Winning the Heisman, leading Baylor to another bowl game and putting up huge numbers will likely make him a top 10 pick. It's fair to say that if the Colts, Browns, Redskins, Dolphins all pass on him I would be very surprised.

- There have been stories on how some experts, analysts and even NFL executives view either Matt Barkley or RG3 as better prospects than Andrew Luck. I don't see it to be honest. Luck is the best skilled and most polished QB to come out of this class even if both Barkley and RG3 enter the draft. RG3 will have to get used to taking snaps under center, running a pro style offense and using the entire field. Barkley just doesn't have the arm and the skill set compared to Luck in my opinion.

- It's been a crazy week 15 with many upsets. The silver lining to the Redskins win was that other teams like the Dolphins, Seahawks and Chiefs who also will be looking for a QB in the draft all won as well. Yes, the Redskins fell three spots but so did those teams. Enjoy a rare Redskins win! Especially when the 'Skins sweep the Giants.

- I still think the Browns could draft a QB. Although they have problems in other areas. They could use a play making WR (like Julio Jones who they passes in the trade with Atlanta last year) to give McCoy an actual open target. Don't be surprised to see some mock drafts giving them a QB.

- College Bowl season has begun already and while it'll be a few week before we start seeing some good games, keep an eye out for all the games being played. Draft stock will be rising and falling as these games are played.

- Expect the Redskins to focus on offense early in the draft but remember that free agency will precede this year's 2012 draft unlike last year. What the Redskins do and don't do in free agency will set the tone for where they will go in the draft. I'm still convinced that QB will have to be the top priority.

Sunday, December 18, 2011

The Redskins Aren't Expecting a Big Fan Turnout on Saturday

Now for the record I will tell you that I got this email from the Redskins prior to today's victory. Matter of fact, it was sent to me on Friday. But I figured I would share with the IIWII community. Normally, as a ticket holder on the Redskins mailing list, I get similar emails telling me about "player ticket returns". On a side note, if you are interested in catching a game and don't have tickets its worth calling the ticket office and checking for returns. Generally, you can get some decent tickets at face value from time to time.

Anyway, this was a interesting email. Instead of offering up available tickets to fans/season ticket holders, they want those who aren't planning on coming out on Christmas Eve to give their tickets to charity instead of eating them and leaving the seats empty.

Here's most of the email:

Wow.  The Redskins have put out emails and ads like this before and even ExtremeSkins has a plea to fans to give their tickets to charity as an alternative to selling them to a stranger (or worse an opposing team fan). I guess it just comes off to me that the Redskins aren't expecting many fans to come and support their team when they have no chance of going to the playoffs, are 2-5 at home in 2011 and it's the day before a major holiday. It doesn't help that its against the Vikings with no Donovan McNabb either.

NFL Week 15 Picks

2-0 already this week and I'm hoping for a chance to sweep this week. Not impossible but very hard to do.

1PM Games
Dolphins @ Bills (-1.0)
The Dolphins are starting J.P. Losman in place of the injured Matt Moore. Losman struggled in Buffalo as a Bill, now he'll struggle there as a Dolphin. Former Redskin Todd Bowles takes over as the Dolphins new HC.
Pick: Bills

Seahawks @ Bears (-3.5)
I know the Bears are at home and are favored but I don't like them here. Too many injuries and the Seahawks have looked like a real NFL team since they lost to the Redskins.
Pick: Seahawks

Panthers @ Texans (-6.5)
Close game but I'm still taking the Texans here. Best D in the league and a hard to stop run game gives them the edge.
Pick: Texans

Bengals @ Rams ( +6.5)
Man are the Rams bad. Take the Bengals here.
Pick: Bengals

Titans @ Colts (+6.5)
Might be a closer game than you think early on, but I think the Titans pull away. They have something to win for, the Colts have something worth losing (Luck).
Pick: Titans

Packers @ Chiefs (+14.0)
New head coach, Chiefs have looked like they've given up weeks ago. Get ready to see discount double checks early and often in this game.
Pick: Packers

Saints @ Vikings (+7.0)
Adrian Peterson is back so that might give the Vikings a chance, but I kind of think Drew Brees will air the ball out all day.
Pick: Saints

Redskins @ Giants (-7.0)
The 'Skins are horrible in NY. Frankly, I may watch the Red Zone channel after the 1st quarter.
Pick: Giants 24-10.

4PM Games
Lions @ Raiders (+1.0)
Two teams that like to break the rules and get in trouble. I'm going with the original bad guys in the Black hole.
Pick: Raiders

Browns @ Cardinals (-6.5)
This could be the battle of the back up QBs and I like John Skelton almost better than Kevin Kolb.
Pick: Cardinals

Jets @ Eagles (-3.0)
The battle of two annoying green fan bases. I'll go with the team that plays better in December and has a better defense.
Pick: Jets

Patriots @ Broncos (+6.0)
Can the Tebow inspired Broncos beat the high scoring poor defense that is the Patriots? Maybe. I think this is closer than some think, but the Tebows finally can't pull of the miracle.
Pick: Patriots

Ravens @ Chargers (+2.0)
Part of me really thinks this will be the end of Norv. I hope so if only for the sake of Chargers fans who would like to see another Super Bowl in the next decade. But this is the type of game Norv tends to win. Picking the Ravens here, but I don't like the pick.
Pick: Ravens

Steelers @ 49ers (-2.0)
Did you get a chance to see the new Dark Knight Rises trailer? Hines Ward scoring a TD for the Gotham Rogues-- meanwhile the field is caving in behind Ward thanks to a new weapon by Batman villain Bane. Anyway, the Steelers are on the road, banged up and facing a good 49ers team. I like the 'niners especially if Big Ben is out.
Pick: 49ers

Tuesday, December 13, 2011

If the Season Ended Today.....The Redskins Would Draft at #4

Week 14 is done and the Redskins move up slightly and pass Jacksonville to be #4 in draft order. "Suck for Luck" also officially ended this week for the Redskins as the Colts lost another game, this time to the Ravens. The Colts are now 0-13 for the season. There is a chance that Minnesota or St. Louis could overtake the Colts for the #1 overall spot if the Colts win the final three games and either the Rams or the Vikings lose out.

I doubt that this will happen.

Here is the current top 10 in draft order (from Walter Football)

  1. Indianapolis (0-13)
  2. Minnesota (2-11)
  3. St. Louis (2-11)
  4. Washington (4-9)
  5. Jacksonville (4-9)
  6. Carolina (4-9)
  7. Miami (4-9)
  8. Cleveland (4-9)
  9. Tampa Bay (4-9)
  10. Philadelphia (5-8)
- Worth noting is that the Brown have a bit of power in this situation. They have both their pick (#8) and Atlanta's 1st round pick (#21- 2010 Julio Jones trade). If they really thought they needed a QB (which is possible) or another top prospect they could trade both 1st rounders and move up to #3 overall. At this point the Browns have many problems and I think they would be better off getting 2 good 1st round players, but you never know with the Browns.

Monday, December 12, 2011

Quick Updates 12/12/11

Just wanted to pass along some news.

1st is that I've been going through some of my pictures and finally added pics from the Giants game to the IIWII Flickr feed. So go there and check them out. I'm hoping to add other games in the upcoming weeks and January. I'm limited in photo space on Flickr so this is why I can't load up all of my photo's at once.

2. People have been enjoying the NFL Weekly picks and this may be my best year in picking games. So far, I'm 11-4 on the week with one game to go. I might have a chance to be in the top 5 in the BGO pick'em league this year. I'm hoping to continue doing picks through the Super Bowl this season.

3. I will have a post with some pictures from the Army/Navy game. Just need to start writing it.

4. Redskins Game Recap will be up later today, I also just have to start writing it. Despite the loss, I don't have too much to complain about, so expect a shorter than usual article.

5. Still have a bunch of stuff to post about 2011 Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III. Right now, he's the guy I want to see the 'Skins draft in the 1st round. It's early and Griffin may return to Baylor next year so while I'm excited in this potential draft prospect I 'm going to try and temper the excitement. He might not be available to draft in the first place.

6. I still have over 300 pictures to share from my trip to the Hall of Fame back in September. That will probably get pushed back to January/Feburary/March as I'm still in the thick of Redskins news, draft prospects, draft standings, ranking draft prospects, Bowl games and All-Star Bowl games to cover.

7. Going to put up a poll soon asking readers what type of content that they would like to read about during the off-season. Please vote. I like readers here often as possible and if we can provide content in other forms of sports, or tv or movies that would be great. That said, if all you want is Redskins and football, well that's where I'll go.

Thanks for reading and keep checking back.

Sunday, December 11, 2011

NFL Week 14 Picks

1PM Games
Buccaneers @ Jaguars (+1.0)
Jeez, I feel bad for the TV fans who get stuck having to watch this game. I can't get Patriots @ Redskins, but at least the Colts @ Ravens game isn't this bad.
Pick: Buccaneers

Patriots @ Redskins (+8.0)
The field will be rough and the end zones will say ARMY and NAVY. I guess the 'Skins figured the pounding that they'll have, they might as well not even show their name on the field today. I expect many a Redskin fan in the parking lot by half-time.
Pick: Patriots 37-16

Texans @ Bengals (-3.0)
Battle of the rookie QB's today. I like the rookie with one of the best D's in the league to back him up
Pick: Texans

Chiefs @ Jets (-9.0)
The Chiefs can't score and the Jets are in December form. Easy game to pick.
Pick: Jets

Vikings @ Lions (-8.0)
Lions bounce back with a win over the hapless Vikings.
Pick: Lions

Saints @ Titans (+3.5)
I have a feeling that the Titans will have a good day running the ball on the Saints. Going with the upset here.
Pick: Titans

Eagles @ Dolphins (-3.0)
Mike Vick is back, but the Dolphins have figured out how to finally win at home. I like the home team to keep it up today.
Pick: Dolphins

Colts @ Ravens (-16.5)
Raven fans still remember the Baltimore Colts. This could be a bloodbath with Manning not there.
Pick: Ravens

Falcons @ Panthers (+2.5)
I expect the Falcons to run the ball early and often against a depleted Carolina D-line
Pick: Falcons

4PM Games
Bears @Broncos (-3.5)
The Bears have no offense. The Broncos have enough. Can the Broncos win the AFCW?
Pick: Broncos

Raiders @ Packers (-11.0)
Somebody on NFLN made a bold prediction that the Raiders would beat GB today. Really? Did you watch last week's Miami/Oakland game?
Pick: Packers

49ers @ Cardinals
The 49ers are just playing smart smash mouth football that many teams have forgotten how to play.
Pick: 49ers

Bills @ Chargers (-6.5)
This is Norv's last stand and I think he'll have his team do well enough for them to probably bring him back for another season. I feel your pain Charger fans.
Pick: Chargers

Giants @ Cowboys (-3.5)
Giants D dominates Romo and the 'Boys.
Pick: Giants

Rams @Seahawks (-6.5)
Do you really care about this game? Anybody?
Pick: Seahawks

Saturday, December 10, 2011

College All-Star Games Announced

I figured that you may be interested in a few of the college all-star games that occur every year as we head towards the draft. I watched three of these games last year: The East/West Shrine game, The Senior Bowl and the NFLPA (Texas vs. The Nation) game.

I know what you're thinking: "why do I need to watch another college game to look a potential Redskins?"
Well, let's just look at The Senior Bowl. Ryan Kerrigan, Jarvis Jenkins, Leonard Hankerson, Roy Helu and Chris Neild were on those rosters. I raved about a OG from East Carolina named Willie Smith during the NFLPA game. Smith went undrafted but may be the Redskins starting LT for the next four weeks.

You get the point.

Anyway, here is a list from Pro Football Weekly (I've added times of a few of the games in EST)

Dec. 18, 2011
Russell Athletics HBCU Bowl — Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Ga.
Jan. 16, 2012
Eastham Energy College All-Star Game — Kino Park, Tuscon, Ariz.
Jan. 21, 2012
East-West Shrine Game  — Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Fla. (4PM)
The Battle of Florida — Florida Atlantic U Stadium, Boca Raton, Fla. (6PM)
Jan. 28, 2012Senior Bowl  — Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Ala. (2PM) NFL Network
Feb. 4, 2012Players All-Star Classic — War Memorial Stadium, AT&T Field, Little Rock, Ark.

Friday, December 9, 2011

2012 NFL Draft Dates Confirmed

Just in case you wanted to know when the draft is taking place in 2012, I have the dates and location for you.

Place: Radio City Music Hall (NYC)
Dates: April 26th (Thursday) - April 28th

I would expect the 26th and 27th will be in Primetime formats similar to last year's draft times.
Don't believe me? Well, here's NFL PR guy Greg Aiello confirming it with me on Twitter.

So Redskin fans get your RGIII jerseys ready (hopefully) and mark your calenders. We should be in for a treat in a few months. Of course, we always do well in the off-season. It's the regular season that usually throws a wrench in the works.

Also, I would expect the Redskins to have the annual Draft Day Party at FedEx on April 28th.

Tuesday, December 6, 2011

Game Recap: Jets @ Redskins- Why Kyle Why?

(Even John Beck thinks we should run the ball. Photo via The Examiner)
 Prior to this game I really didn't have anything bad to say about Jet fans. Matter of fact me and my regular posse of tailgaters (there's usually four of us) did a joint tailgate with a group of Jet fans. Good times, beer, brats, chili and other food and drink items were had by all. By the end of the game, I have a near hatred of the Jets and their fan base (but not the guys we tailgated with). So much so that I'm hoping New England beats the ever loving hell out of them from now on.....and I can't stand the Patriots. Let's just say I had a bad day at FedEx when it came to the game and the opposing team's fan base. We'll leave it at that.

The Redskins didn't have a very good day either and while this team lacks playmakers and depth, it was one of their stronger elements, the coaching, that failed the team on Sunday. My rant here is focused at Kyle Shanahan mostly but it goes to Mike Shanahan as well. Here's the thing, by now we all have a good understanding about Rex Grossman. We know who he is and what he does. We know that he can succeed and make good plays on occasion and he also makes some of the most illogical decisions that I've ever seen a starting quarterback in the NFL make. Grossman can move the ball and score TDs but he's a turnover machine who tends to turn it over usually about two times a game (either by fumble or INT). If he's having a good game, Grossman will complete over 60%, throw 2 TDs and probably turnover the ball once or twice.

Why do you think I haven't said much about starting Beck over Grossman for three games after he regressed? Because I know, much like you, what you're getting if you stick with Grossman. So you give Beck his last chance to prove he could do it in the NFL. Beck failed miserably. So you had to go back to the guy who could at least move the ball vertically down the field. You know all of this, so why would you have Grossman throw the ball 46 times in a game where you could actually run the ball? Not only that, but he was facing one of the better corner tandems in the NFL. Jabar Gaffney went to Revis island and became a castaway (zero catches).

At one point (1st half) Roy Helu was averaging 6.3 yards per carry. Yet, the Redskins decided to throw for play after play late in the first. If you were worried about Helu being worn out or tired then why didn't Torain or Royster carry the ball? Hell, give it to Mike Sellers for all I care. The pass wasn't working. The Redskin WRs just aren't elite enough to get open and the Jets weren't biting on play action. Matter of fact the Jets were chomping at the bit for more pass plays so they wouldn't look stupid diving at and missing Helu as he ran by them.

Other beat writers and pundits have said this and I agree with them- Kyle Shanahan on occasion calls plays for a team that he wants the Redskins to be not the team the Redskins are now. Rex Grossman isn't Matt Schaub and there is nobody on this team in 2011 that is close to Andre Johnson. All the Redskins had in this game was Roy Helu and Fred Davis. Instead of working the run with Helu, Torain and Royster, the Redskins threw the ball. They didn't need to do this. The Redskins weren't behind until about 5 minutes remaining in the game. So why throw so much?

Something to think about.

Now let's get to The Good, The Bad and The Ugly.

Monday, December 5, 2011

If the Season Ended Today...The Redskins Would Draft at #5

Based on what has gone on so far this week, it looks like the Redskins are in the #5 spot if the draft was starting today. Thanks to wins by Miami and Carolina it looks like the 'Skins will jump ahead of both teams (because of strength of schedule) and move from 7th to 5th in draft order.

The Redskins could move up to #4 overall with a Jaguars win tonight against the Chargers.

It is possible with a few wins by the Rams, Vikings and Jaguars that the 'Skins could go to #2 overall* and it is possible but practically improbable for the 'Skins to be the #1 overall team if the Colts were to win all four of their final games and the 'Skins to lose all four. That however is just not happening with the Ravens hosting the Colts in Baltimore on Sunday.

Right now barring a trade, it looks like Luck will be off the table. That means the Redskins will have to choose another passer possibly Matt Barkley, Robert Griffin III, Landry Jones or Ryan Tannehill. I will have a top 5 QB ranking with some video evidence later in the week.

Don't be surprised though to see the Redskins make some trades again this year and I would not be surprised to see the Redskins trading back a bit, and drafting a player and then accumulating more picks. It also wouldn't surprise me to see the 'Skins trade back a few spots, draft a WR in the first round and then taking a QB like Tannehill in the early 2nd or trading back into the 1st to get their man. Just speculation on my part. The Redskins aren't looking at the draft right now (except for the scouting department) and there is still the Bowl games, all-star games and combine to look forward to watching before we can get into the meat of the draft. That said, why not start looking at scenarios? The Redskins aren't going to the playoffs. We might really start looking at the future of the franchise.

* Hat tip to Rick Snider of the Examiner who was already looking at how the Redskins could end up at #2 overall on Twitter today @Snide_Remarks

Williams and Davis Suspended: DC's New Cheech and Chong

(Half-Baked seems more appropriate though)
Last month there was a Yahoo! report by Jason Cole mentioning that 11 players would be fined and/or suspended for violating the substance abuse policy. On one of the Redskins Post Games shows on ESPN 980 during this I heard for the first time that both Fred Davis and Trent Williams were possibly on that list. Of course after that report nothing much happened and I kind of let it go since nothing had been said since of that issue.

Flash forward to Sunday. After the game ends and the Redskins yet again lose, we find out that both Williams and Davis will be suspended for the remaining games (four) this season. What could be worse is that since both players have failed multiple tests in in the past, if they fail another one they could be suspended for up to a year.

The Post's "Football Insider" has more details:

 "Each player has failed at least three drug tests since entering the league, according to a league source, including two since the lockout ended in July. Davis and Williams tested positive for recreational drugs, believed to be marijuana, according to a league source familiar with the case."

 "While nine of the 11 players will face no punishment for their failed tests, Davis and Williams will be suspended because they subsequently failed another drug test after the regular season began in September, according to the person with knowledge of the situation."
 - From Mike Jones 12/4/11

This is pretty dumb by most standards. For Davis in particular because he's in a contract year. Davis has shown why he was a 2nd round pick back in 2008 and has had a stand out year as a pass catcher (59 catches, 796 yards and 3TDs) who could have had a chance of having 1,000 yards receiving had he played in the final four games. Davis has just lost a substantial amount of money and possibly a few suitors because of this. I can think of a few teams that will pass on him because the "sword of damocles" will hang over their heads with fear of a year suspension looming.

As for Williams, the Redskins are stuck with him. He's in the 2nd year of his rookie contract (large rookie contract by the way) and while he's been inconsistent at times he's arguably the most talented and best O-lineman on the team. I would expect Mike Shanahan to make his life hell during OTAs and training camp next year.

Both of these guys have let down the team and the fans. I know the Redskins aren't a very good team right now, but both have been some of the better elements of this team and now the 'Skins are without two more starters for the rest of the year. I'm not going to go into discussion about legality or any moral issues on the subject but I will again state how beyond stupid these guys are for failing multiple tests over a few short years. These are professional athletes who play in a league where drug testing is frequent and random. They were given heads up as to when the lockout was ending (so they could stop said use of drugs to get it our of their systems- remember there was no drug testing during the lockout) but still failed a test. Then after failing one test post-lockout they failed another during the season according to Jones' source. How dumb is that? Didn't they think that after failing one test post lockout. that the NFL wouldn't test them again and possibly more frequently?

The loss to the Jets on Sunday was bad for many reasons, but these suspension have given the Redskins a serious black eye. It hurts the present and the future of this team and is going force Mike Shanahan to make some tough decisions in the next few months.

Saturday, December 3, 2011

NFL Week 13 Picks

Raiders @ Dolphins (-3.0)
Pick: Raiders

Falcons @ Texans (+2.5)
Pick: Falcons

Titans @ Bills (-1.5)
Pick: Titans

Chiefs @ Bears (-8.0)
Pick: Bears

Jets @ Redskins (+3.0)
I think the Redskins are going to pull it off this week.
Pick: Redskins

Bengals @ Steelers (-7.0)
Pick: Steelers

Ravens @Browns (+6.5)
Pick: Ravens

Panthers @ Buccaneers (-3.0)
Pick: Panthers

Lions @ Saints (-7.5)
Pick: Saints

Broncos @ Vikings (-1.0)
Pick: Broncos

Cowboys @ Cardinals (+4.5)
Pick: Cowboys

Packers @ Giants (+6.5)
Pick: Packers

Rams @ 49ers (-13.0)
Pick: 49ers

Colts @ Patriots (-21.0)
Pick: Patriots

Chargers @ Jaguars (+2.5)
Pick: Chargers