Sunday, September 21, 2014

IIWII Week Three Staff Picks

Hail all football fans!!!! Another season is upon us and as we all know its gonna be unpredictable. With that being said once again FedEx Al and I (Tattooed Scorpio) try to predict these crazy games. Last year, I think we did alright for non experts. So we decided to try it again. My week 3 picks are as follows with Al's picks below mine:

* Point spread based on current line from CBS Sports and based on home team.
** Games times are in Eastern Standard Time
San Diego at Buffalo (-2.5) 1PM, CBS

TS: Buffalo is a shocking 2-0  while San Diego is 1-1 after handling the defending champs last week. Even tho San Diego is making that dreaded cross country trip I believe that they will prevail against a Buffalo. E.J. Manuel and Sammy Watkins look like a dynamic duo already but San Diego is a complete team that will probably use the same ball control strategy as they did against Seattle. 
Pick: San Diego

Al:  The point spread kind of tells you that despite a 2-0 record and playing at home this week, Vegas doesn't seem comfortable giving the Bills a decent edge. While I don't think the Bills start is a sham, I do think it may not be as good as people think. The Chargers will put a great deal of pressure on Manuel and will probably slow a somewhat successful Bills run game. The biggest thing going for Buffalo is the cross country trip for the Chargers and that they beat the Super Bowl champs last week. This seems crazy but Buffalo may stun again and go 3-0.
Pick: Buffalo
Dallas at St. Louis (-0.5) 1PM, FOX

TS: Dallas will be traveling to St.Louis to try and duplicate their success in Tennessee. They ran the ball well with Demarco Murray who is leading the league in rushing after two weeks. After this week he will still be leading the league because we all know how he loves to run all over the Rams. He has almost 500 yards rushing in his last three game versus the rams. 
Pick: Dallas 

Al: I think Dallas will have a harder time moving the ball against the Rams compared to the Titans. However, the Rams have no quarterback. As long as Romo doesn't throw 3-4 INTS Cowboys should win this game easily.
Pick: Dallas
Washington at Philadelphia (-6.5) 1PM, FOX

TS: This is a big game for both teams and DeSean Jackson, but he is a game time decision with a slight separation of his shoulder. I feel if does suit up he'll be on a limited snap count because it's no reason to risk season long issues for one game even though it's a division rival. Chip Kelly's offense has looked good but it's not consistent and that's what you get with a fast paced offense. I feel the Redskins defense will be able to contain Darren Sproles and LeSean McCoy. 
Pick: Redskins
Al: The key for the Redskins is discipline on defense and pounding the ball down the Eagles' throats. This could be a serious trap game for the Eagles since they have the 49ers next week. I'm a homer and I think the 'Skins may make up for the week 1 loss by pulling a major upset this week.
Pick: Redskins
Houston at New York Giants (+2.5) 1PM, CBS

TS: The Texans looking to go 3-0 against a Giants team that looks very bad this early part of the season. All I have to say is ....J.J. Watt. Eli will have another long day trying to learn this new offense with limited running game and unsure receivers. Arian Foster will run the ball effectively opening up the play action game. 
Pick: Houston

Al: The Houston defense is just SICK. Meanwhile, the Giants look sickening. Houston may have a repeat game like they did last week against the Raiders.
Pick: Houston
Minnesota at New Orleans (-10.5) 1PM, FOX
TS: Both of these teams coming off bad losses last week and wanna get that bad taste out of their mouths. New Orleans will get a boost being back at home and I believe will get their first win of the season. 
Pick: New Orleans

Al: Beyond AP what do the Vikings have? Oh yeah, they don't have AP anymore either.
Pick: New Orleans
Tennessee at Cincinnati (-7.5) 1PM, CBS

TS: The Bengals look focused and balanced in their first two games, which is shocking being they lost their offensive and defensive coordinators to head coaching jobs. The Titans looked bad against the Cowboys last week with a weak defense so I don't think any thing different facing a potent Bengals defense. 
Pick: Cincinnati

Al: Couldn't write it any better than what TS just wrote.
Pick: Cincinnati
Baltimore at Cleveland (+1.5) 1PM, CBS

TS: This the Ravens third division game in three weeks and their looking to beat the Browns who shocked the world by beating the Saints last week. The Browns defense looking to keep improving and forcing turnovers to beat the Ravens. Brian Hoyer is doing just enough to help them win. 
Pick: Cleveland

Al: Kyle Shanahan knows Gary Kubiak's scheme. Matter of fact he runs practically the same scheme (minus the zone reads). The Ravens are asking their third string RB to carry the ball. I smell an upset at The Factory of Sadness.
Pick: Cleveland
Green Bay at Detroit (-2.5) 1PM, FOX

TS: This NFC north rivalry goes way back and as always it will be a hard hitting game. Detroit's defense has been playing pretty well giving up a avg. of 255 yards a game and only 57 yards giving up on the ground. Green Bay is also averaging almost 300 yards passing a game. With the combo of Randall Cobb, Jordy Nelson thru the air and Lacy on the ground I think will be a little too much for the Lions at home. 
Pick: Green Bay
Al:  I just don't have a lot of faith in the Lions. Green Bay has the better offense.
Pick: Green Bay
Indianapolis at Jacksonville (+7.5) 1PM, CBS

TS: The good thing about this game is that someone will finally have their 1st victory of the season. The Colts coming off a disappointing loss to the Eagles and the Jaguars coming off a thrashing by the Redskins are looking to improve their records and get a division win. Even tho its the home opener for the Jaguars I think Andrew luck and crew are the better team and they will show it. 
Pick: Indianapolis

Al: The Colts have lost two tough games against the Broncos and the Eagles. They finally get their first win of the season against a banged up and struggling Jaguars team.
Pick: Indianapolis
Oakland at New England (-14.5) 1PM,CBS
TS: Well in this cross country match up I see it being over pretty early. Oakland is bad and New England is well....New England. Nothing much else to say. 
Pick: New England

Al: I feel bad for the folks who get this game to watch locally.
Pick: New England
San Francisco at Arizona (+3.5) 4:05 PM, FOX

TS: This is a big match up early in the season in the now toughest division in football and shockingly Arizona is at the top of the division. The Cardinals offense looks very potent with weapons that know their role and excel at what their asked to do. The 49ers lost their home opener to the wounded Bears and Colin's three INTs are the main reason they lost that game. I see a tough battle that I give the edge to the home town Cardinals. 
Pick: Arizona

Al: The Cardinals got lucky and were able to win last week with Drew Stanton at QB. If Carson Palmer can't go this week, Stanton won't be able to do it for a second week in a row. The Giants are horrible, the 49ers are not.
Pick: San Francisco
Denver at Seattle (-5.5) 4:25PM, CBS

TS: This rematch of the Super Bowl will be the marque matchup of the week. Seattle coming of a loss to the Chargers and Denver beating their rival the Chiefs. With the fast paced offense of Denver it will play into the hands of the Seattle defense. The question is will they use the same formula San Diego used of ball control and winning the time of possession battle. Seattle has a strong running game and a healthy ( so far) Percy Harvin but the Broncos defense is better then they were in February. The 12th man is sure to be loud and that's the deciding factor in my opinion. 
Pick: Seattle

Al: I don't trust the point spread in the game. Why would the Seahawks be only favored by 5 after dominating the Broncos in the Super Bowl and playing at home? Something doesn't pass the smell test here. Going Denver just because I don't like the numbers.
Pick: Denver
Kansas City at Miami (-4.5) 4:25 PM, CBS

TS: The Chiefs are looking to get on the winning side of things after losing their first two games. Miami is trying to replicate  their success in week 1 when they shocked the world and beat the Patriots. With storms in the forecast this will be a nasty ground battle won in the trenches. With Jamaal Charles out with a high ankle sprain I expect a heavy dose of Knile Davis a young powerful, quick back that will get plenty of touches. Most importantly it keeps Alex Smith from doing too much and throwing int's is always too much. 
Pick: Kansas City

Al: While I need Knile Davis to have a good game in fantasy, the reality is that the Chiefs just aren't the same team they were in 2013. I expect Miami to make some turnovers and win at home.
Pick: Miami
Pittsburgh at Carolina (-3.5) SNF, NBC

TS: This will be a hard hitting affair for the Sunday night football. Carolina is lacking a true passing game. TE Greg Olsen really being their only true threat but their read option based run game and potent, stingy top 10 defense make them a tough match up. Pittsburgh offense is looking good with LeVeon Bell carrying the workload out of the backfield catching and running. Their defense isn't as feared as they once were but they do have some young talent and as Pittsburgh does they will develop them. 
Pick: Carolina

Al: The Panthers will capitalize off of some turnovers that they will generate against the Steelers. After watching the Steelers/Ravens on TNF, it's clear that Pittsburgh will have trouble generating offense. Cam Newton will be putting up some points tonight.
Pick: Carolina

Chicago at New York Jets (-2.5) MNF, ESPN

TS: The Jets are looking to win this game specifically running the ball on Chicago's depleted defense. expect a heavy dose of the run game from the leagues leading rushing attack and the 3rd ranked defense. Chicago has a big WR combo in Marshall and Jeffrey and believe they will test the Jets defense. As long as Jay Cutler doesn't turn it over. With that being said. 
Pick: Jets

Al: Chicago is banged up and heading to NJ to face a strong Jets defense. I think if the Jets limit their mistakes, they have a good chance to win this week.
Pick: Jets 

And that's it for week three. Please feel free to leave comments. Are we right? Are we crazy? Which teams are you picking today?

Also, check out our coverage and comments throughout the day on Twitter @ Tattooed Scorpio and @IIWIISkinsBlog and like our IIWII facebook page.

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